Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000736 0.000766 0.000796 0.000829 0.000864 0.000901 0.000941
2025-10-26 0.000674 0.000717 0.000762 0.000813 0.000869 0.000930 0.000999
2025-11-02 0.000636 0.000689 0.000746 0.000812 0.000887 0.000970 0.001069
2025-11-09 0.000599 0.000658 0.000723 0.000801 0.000891 0.000993 0.001119
2025-11-16 0.000569 0.000633 0.000704 0.000791 0.000894 0.001013 0.001164
2025-11-23 0.000556 0.000625 0.000705 0.000802 0.000921 0.001062 0.001245
2025-11-30 0.000539 0.000613 0.000698 0.000804 0.000936 0.001096 0.001309
2025-12-07 0.000518 0.000594 0.000682 0.000794 0.000935 0.001109 0.001346
2025-12-14 0.000498 0.000575 0.000666 0.000782 0.000931 0.001118 0.001376
2025-12-21 0.000482 0.000561 0.000654 0.000775 0.000932 0.001132 0.001414
2025-12-28 0.000457 0.000533 0.000625 0.000745 0.000902 0.001104 0.001393
2026-01-04 0.000444 0.000521 0.000614 0.000738 0.000902 0.001115 0.001426
2026-01-11 0.000432 0.000511 0.000606 0.000735 0.000906 0.001133 0.001471
2026-01-18 0.000420 0.000499 0.000596 0.000727 0.000905 0.001144 0.001505
2026-01-25 0.000412 0.000493 0.000593 0.000729 0.000917 0.001173 0.001567
2026-02-01 0.000401 0.000481 0.000582 0.000721 0.000913 0.001180 0.001596
2026-02-08 0.000390 0.000470 0.000572 0.000713 0.000910 0.001186 0.001626
2026-02-15 0.000387 0.000470 0.000575 0.000723 0.000932 0.001232 0.001717
2026-02-22 0.000381 0.000465 0.000572 0.000725 0.000943 0.001259 0.001782
2026-03-01 0.000372 0.000455 0.000562 0.000716 0.000938 0.001263 0.001809
2026-03-08 0.000362 0.000445 0.000552 0.000706 0.000930 0.001263 0.001828
2026-03-15 0.000354 0.000437 0.000544 0.000700 0.000928 0.001270 0.001861
2026-03-22 0.000340 0.000419 0.000523 0.000673 0.000896 0.001230 0.001809